Would you say end of the world due to AGI is looking more/less likely today than 2017?
I would guess that Caplan's view hasn't changed and Yud's has grown more bleak.
My p(doom) has increased from under <1% in 2017 to maybe 10% now. So I'd still take the bet if someone I trusted to pay offered it to me.
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Would you say end of the world due to AGI is looking more/less likely today than 2017?
I would guess that Caplan's view hasn't changed and Yud's has grown more bleak.
My p(doom) has increased from under <1% in 2017 to maybe 10% now. So I'd still take the bet if someone I trusted to pay offered it to me.