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Marybeth's avatar

If half of the sectors are growing and half are not, the "better" half will become a larger and larger fraction of the economy. So the growth rate of the overall economy will asymptotically approach 4%.

I know nothing about macro but that sounds unlikely, but that's still how I interpret your question.

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Jonathan Paulson's avatar

If e.g. computers get way better but housing is stagnant, people are still going to want housing, so why would the fraction of the economy devoted to housing go down?

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James Hudson's avatar

Maybe he meant: it is always true that half the *economy* is growing at 4% and half at 0%. But that supposition seems unmotivated.

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Mr. Ala's avatar

The growth rate will gradually approach 4% as that sector more and more dominates. And no, it doesn’t matter, economically, if the growth sector is virtual (however defined).

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Jonathan Paulson's avatar

It depends what fraction of the economy is in the growing vs. stagnant sectors. I’d expect the growing sectors to shrink (additional output has diminishing returns and maintaining the same output requires fewer inputs because of growth), hence I’d expect stagnation overall, but other scenarios are possible.

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