I also like that most people deploy the fall of the Weimar Republic to talk about the dangers of an inflationary spiral when it actually collapsed in a deflationary one.
Hi from the future! You said "good reason to expect global warming to be milder than models predict" and you, impressively, operationalized that as a wager with Yoram Bauman:
But, as is visually clear from the temperature graph, the climate models turned out to be spot on. A rare instance of an incorrect prediction from you!
I'm getting tempted to offer you another wager, this time for reading Toby Ord's _The Precipice_. It lays out the case meticulously for alarmism on many fronts and, in my opinion, deftly demolishes the "what me worry" stance.
Rising to eclipse the Global Warming Hoax: the Anti-Semitism Hoax. In both, it is the RESPONSE to the hoax that is by far the most to be feared.
Just curious, sir: hWhen you re-hash old articles like this, are they chosen at random? Or specifically curated?
And would you change anything given 19 more years of history?
What about specifically rare events, like the bronze age collapse ?
https://music.apple.com/us/album/its-the-end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it-and-i-feel-fine/1440850529?i=1440850619
I also like that most people deploy the fall of the Weimar Republic to talk about the dangers of an inflationary spiral when it actually collapsed in a deflationary one.
Hi from the future! You said "good reason to expect global warming to be milder than models predict" and you, impressively, operationalized that as a wager with Yoram Bauman:
https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-bryan-caplan-win-his-climate-b
But, as is visually clear from the temperature graph, the climate models turned out to be spot on. A rare instance of an incorrect prediction from you!
I'm getting tempted to offer you another wager, this time for reading Toby Ord's _The Precipice_. It lays out the case meticulously for alarmism on many fronts and, in my opinion, deftly demolishes the "what me worry" stance.
Nothing ever happens
Rackets, in their many forms, are eternal.
Dickens or a French proverb?
I love love love this!