Political Mood Cycles
My casual observation of American politics suggests that national political mood follows a four-year cycle that syncs with the presidential electoral cycle. Here’s how I see the cycle running:
Election Year: Strident
Inauguration Year: Hopeful
Second Year: Disappointed
Third Year: Bored
and then back to…
Election Year: Strident
Questions:
1. Does my casual empirical match yours?
2. What are some plausible empirical tests of my political mood cycle theory?
3. Do other countries with four-year executive terms show the same pattern?
4. What about countries that don’t have four-year executive terms?
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