My Open Borders neglects two major worries about immigration.
The first is contagious disease; I did not see that one coming, though I try to remedy my oversight here.
The second omission is less excusable. Somehow I failed to address immigration’s environmental effects. Here’s what I should have said – and what I will say if there’s ever a second edition.
1. The obvious environmental objection to immigration is that it raises population and therefore leads to more pollution and other negative environmental effects.
2. The naive reply is that immigration merely redistributes environmental harm from one country to another rather than actually increasing environmental harm overall.
3. The wise reply to this naive reply is that precisely because immigration drastically increases wealth creation, it also ipso facto increases the negative environmental byproducts of wealth creation. Immigration’s “trillion-dollar bills on the sidewalk” sit inside a gargantuan wallet of harm to Mother Earth.
4. Note: If you buy this argument, you should be similarly afraid of economic development in the Third World. So rather than opposing immigration, you should oppose economic progress in general.
5. The heart of my reply to the environmental objection: the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Quick summary of the empirics: Moving from low to middle income increases environmental harm, but moving from middle to high income reduces environmental harm. So environmentally speaking, the best thing for the environment is to move from low to high income as quickly as possible. And liberalizing immigration does precisely that! Indeed, immigration lets people leapfrog straight from low to high income without even passing through middle income along the way.
6. Caveat: Standard measures probably overstate environmental quality in low-income countries by ignoring noxious low-tech pollutants like animal and human waste. So leapfrogging straight to high income is even better than it looks.
7. The Environmental Kuznets Curve works through multiple channels: consumer demand (richer people want greener stuff), norms (richer people care more about the planet), and regulation (richer countries can better afford the economic burden) being the most obvious. But we can safely liberalize immigration without pinning down the precise mechanism.
P.S. Any related topics you think I should address?
The post appeared first on Econlib.
If I understand correctly, over a million people die each year due to air pollution, mostly in very low income countries due to indoor fires of dung or wood.
Is that Kuznets curve really counting that?
I have a probably naive criticism. Not everyone can be an advanced service economy and there has to be industrialization and industrial economics. Does the increase in the size of the service sector economy mean there need to be larger industrial economies to take on the tasks they're not performing?