wrote in August 2022: "I find it *crucially* important to keep the door open to those who want to leave one way. CRUCIALLY important. The idea about the discontent ones staying home and overthrowing Putin is delusional. That's just not gonna happen ...
14. Now however, the only move almost all (somewhat discontent) Russians can do - and by can I mean that these specifics individuals rather than abstract heroes - is to vote by legs. To leave. And in a quickly ageing + depopulating country that undermines Russian war efforts
15. That's why it is very important to keep the door open. And I don't mean necessarily the door to the West. I mean the door to *somewhere*. Emigration to Argentina is already a big thing in Russia.
18. I find the decision to disable Visa and Mastercard abroad but keep them functional in Russia counter-efficient. That literally forces people to stay in. I would prefer it being the other way round.
19. In addition to that, I would advocate for making emigration for any male of draft able age as easy as possible. There are not so many of them left
20. To sum up. I think that allowing tourism, etc. helps Kremlin to keep the illusion of business as usual. So yes, if you allow tourism you support the war. On the other hand, I find it very important to keep the one way door out to those who want to leave
21. And yes, I think that not working out an option of an easy surrender with a small cash handout and a subsequent green corridor to literally whichever visa free countries for the Russian soldiers in Ukraine back in March 2022 was: a big mistake https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1556692603890012161.html
Loved it when first published. Sadly, the EU et al. made it harder for Russians to emigrate (by denying tourist-visa) and did not help with alternatives. As Kamil Galeev - a Tyler Cowen grantee - https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/10/russia-sentence-of-the-day.html
wrote in August 2022: "I find it *crucially* important to keep the door open to those who want to leave one way. CRUCIALLY important. The idea about the discontent ones staying home and overthrowing Putin is delusional. That's just not gonna happen ...
14. Now however, the only move almost all (somewhat discontent) Russians can do - and by can I mean that these specifics individuals rather than abstract heroes - is to vote by legs. To leave. And in a quickly ageing + depopulating country that undermines Russian war efforts
15. That's why it is very important to keep the door open. And I don't mean necessarily the door to the West. I mean the door to *somewhere*. Emigration to Argentina is already a big thing in Russia.
18. I find the decision to disable Visa and Mastercard abroad but keep them functional in Russia counter-efficient. That literally forces people to stay in. I would prefer it being the other way round.
19. In addition to that, I would advocate for making emigration for any male of draft able age as easy as possible. There are not so many of them left
20. To sum up. I think that allowing tourism, etc. helps Kremlin to keep the illusion of business as usual. So yes, if you allow tourism you support the war. On the other hand, I find it very important to keep the one way door out to those who want to leave
21. And yes, I think that not working out an option of an easy surrender with a small cash handout and a subsequent green corridor to literally whichever visa free countries for the Russian soldiers in Ukraine back in March 2022 was: a big mistake https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1556692603890012161.html