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Maxim Lott's avatar

This is a "perfect is the enemy of the good" fallacy.

Yes, you COULD do more by working/donating than voting. But you could apply that logic to just about any good thing someone does -- there's almost always something better. The question is, ARE you going to do that ideal thing? Last election day, did you, Chris Freiman, "work some overtime and earn, say, $50 to donate to the Seva Foundation"? Or did you just not vote, thus contributing less to society that day than an informed person who just did the boring thing and voted?

Voting is a collective action problem, because the individual voter gains essentially no benefit, but added up, informed voting makes society richer.

As a result, informed voting should be seen as the contribution to society that it is.

Regarding whether an "example can be set" I think it's quite clear that culture is contagious. Many social groups / cultural tribes have a norm where you must vote -- and as a result, their tribe's say in the policy process is higher.

To the extent that a tribe of people who support freedom or rationality exists, it would be good for society if they maximize their say in politics by having a cultural norm of voting.

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Sam Atis's avatar

I think the best argument against this view is that even though the chance of your vote changing the election is tiny, the expected value of voting still seems to be high. Suppose there's a one in one million chance of my vote changing the outcome of the election in the UK - if having a different government in power changes the way that £100bn is spent in a way that I think is preferable to how some alternative government would have spent it, then the EV of voting is 0.000001 * 100,000,000,000 = £100,000. So voting seems like an immensely high EV decision, even though the raw chance your vote makes a difference is extremely low.

Although my numbers may be some way off the true numbers, the fact that David Shor (who is very good with numbers and thinks about the impact of voting/elections a lot) has made the same argument is reassuring: https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1425506809788477440

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